Analyst Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 52.74
Price - 52 Week High: --
Price - 52 Week Low: --
Price Date (Latest): 10/18/19
Median Price Target: 52.56
Diff from Prev Close: -0.18
% Difference: -0.35

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.40

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.17
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.42
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 5.70
Yield (%): 2.68

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.54 2.57 2.50 2.54 6 1 -- 0.03
Annual 12/1/20 2.42 2.49 2.37 2.42 10 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.26 2.28 2.24 2.26 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.57 0.61 0.53 0.56 3 -- 1 0.37
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.51 0.55 0.47 0.50 3 1 -- 0.13
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.91 0.95 0.88 0.90 7 3 1 0.95
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.42 0.45 0.37 0.41 7 2 1 -2.84
Long Term Growth 5.05 5.50 4.60 5.05 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.17 2.16 0.34
Annual 12/1/17 1.93 1.95 -0.77
Annual 12/1/16 1.88 1.88 -0.19
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.40 0.44 -8.88
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.53 0.51 3.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.36 0.35 2.52
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.85 0.84 0.92

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 20.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 25.15 26.66 23.65 25.15 2 1 -- 0.56
Annual 12/1/20 23.19 23.74 22.63 23.19 2 1 -- 0.61
Annual 12/1/19 21.68 22.13 21.22 21.68 2 1 -- 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 22.31 22.31 22.31 22.31 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 22.43 22.43 22.43 22.43 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 22.00 22.00 22.00 22.00 1 1 -- 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 22.13 22.13 22.13 22.13 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 20.27 19.72 2.78
Annual 12/1/17 18.94 18.45 2.65
Annual 12/1/16 17.84 17.90 -0.33
Quarterly 6/1/19 20.63 21.10 -2.24
Quarterly 3/1/19 20.57 20.66 -0.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 20.27 20.37 -0.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 20.22 20.19 0.17

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 5.00 5.01 4.99 5.00 2 -- 1 -0.60
Annual 12/1/20 4.89 5.12 4.74 4.82 3 -- 1 -0.27
Annual 12/1/19 4.60 4.90 4.39 4.52 3 1 -- 0.66
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.74 1.47 -- 0.74 2 -- 1 -14.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.40 0.81 -- 0.40 2 1 -- 42.25

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.26 4.32 -47.65
Annual 12/1/17 4.25 4.14 2.78
Annual 12/1/16 3.79 3.68 2.91
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.40 0.50 -20.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.77 0.53 46.39
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.36 0.92 -60.78
Quarterly 9/1/18 2.16 1.45 48.76

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.34
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.60 1.61 1.59 1.60 6 1 -- 0.04
Annual 12/1/20 1.51 1.52 1.50 1.51 8 -- 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/19 1.42 1.44 1.42 1.42 8 1 -- 0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 4 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 4 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.36 4 1 -- 0.49
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.36 4 1 -- 0.49

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1.34 1.35 -0.44
Annual 12/1/17 1.26 1.25 0.63
Annual 12/1/16 1.18 1.17 0.17
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.36 0.36 -0.98
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.36 0.36 -0.77
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.34 0.35 -2.90
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.34 0.34 -0.96

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 694.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 947.88 1,021.00 846.92 961.79 4 -- 1 -0.81
Annual 12/1/20 896.63 968.00 806.79 914.00 5 -- 1 -0.58
Annual 12/1/19 802.78 894.00 730.88 815.00 5 -- 1 -0.22
Quarterly 3/1/20 189.14 189.14 189.14 189.14 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 176.25 176.25 176.25 176.25 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 250.00 264.87 235.14 250.00 2 -- 1 -2.76
Quarterly 12/1/19 155.64 171.88 139.41 155.64 2 1 -- 4.77

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 694.40 739.46 -6.09
Annual 12/1/17 662.50 682.08 -2.87
Annual 12/1/16 623.40 571.62 9.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 149.80 161.40 -7.19
Quarterly 3/1/19 176.80 175.94 0.49
Quarterly 12/1/18 121.40 152.44 -20.36
Quarterly 9/1/18 256.10 247.32 3.55

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,201.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,539.24 1,659.00 1,453.67 1,563.48 5 1 1 -0.35
Annual 12/1/20 1,454.93 1,571.00 1,343.00 1,465.26 7 1 1 -0.24
Annual 12/1/19 1,324.81 1,450.00 1,244.00 1,337.58 7 2 -- 0.35
Quarterly 3/1/20 331.58 340.13 323.03 331.58 2 -- 1 -0.77
Quarterly 6/1/20 316.70 332.39 301.01 316.70 2 1 -- 1.27
Quarterly 9/1/19 405.20 437.69 380.14 397.77 3 -- 1 -5.70
Quarterly 12/1/19 266.80 293.49 246.71 260.22 3 2 -- 12.90

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,201.30 1,230.75 -2.39
Annual 12/1/17 1,124.30 1,163.98 -3.41
Annual 12/1/16 1,035.00 1,030.34 0.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 292.70 292.59 0.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 313.70 302.66 3.65
Quarterly 12/1/18 251.90 261.90 -3.82
Quarterly 9/1/18 385.10 398.00 -3.24

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.19
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.53 2.56 2.50 2.53 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.42 2.49 2.37 2.39 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.26 2.28 2.24 2.26 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.93 0.95 0.90 0.93 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.40 0.43 0.37 0.40 2 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.19 2.17 1.02
Annual 12/1/17 1.99 1.97 1.14
Annual 12/1/16 1.64 1.90 -13.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.40 0.43 -7.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.53 0.49 7.14
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.36 0.35 2.86
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.87 0.84 3.57

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,923.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6,272.68 7,303.48 3,966.03 6,910.61 4 1 1 0.40
Annual 12/1/20 6,074.47 6,793.40 4,035.48 6,734.49 4 1 1 0.47
Annual 12/1/19 5,869.39 6,583.21 4,016.16 6,439.09 4 1 1 0.75
Quarterly 3/1/20 5,417.87 6,733.24 4,102.50 5,417.87 2 1 -- 1.72
Quarterly 6/1/20 5,508.38 6,896.41 4,120.35 5,508.38 2 1 -- 1.77
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,236.01 6,230.30 4,241.71 5,236.01 2 2 -- 3.17
Quarterly 12/1/19 5,299.69 6,583.21 4,016.16 5,299.69 2 1 -- 1.87

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,923.10 5,345.26 10.81
Annual 12/1/17 5,253.60 4,899.19 7.23
Annual 12/1/16 4,556.10 4,230.11 7.71
Quarterly 6/1/19 6,365.20 5,150.57 23.58
Quarterly 3/1/19 6,123.30 4,972.51 23.14
Quarterly 12/1/18 5,923.10 5,061.53 17.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,651.40 5,058.87 11.71

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 506.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 639.16 642.90 634.59 640.00 3 1 -- 0.12
Annual 12/1/20 601.24 611.94 589.00 600.89 5 1 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/19 544.55 552.00 539.94 544.00 5 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly 3/1/20 136.13 136.13 136.13 136.13 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 121.66 121.66 121.66 121.66 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 220.86 229.32 215.46 217.80 3 1 -- 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 101.79 109.53 90.91 104.92 3 -- 1 -0.21

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 506.50 507.80 -0.26
Annual 12/1/17 443.30 447.77 -1.00
Annual 12/1/16 422.80 420.19 0.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 94.60 102.24 -7.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 125.10 117.73 6.26
Quarterly 12/1/18 85.30 81.91 4.14
Quarterly 9/1/18 199.90 190.64 4.85

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 11.05
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 10.71 11.30 10.18 10.68 4 -- -- -0.37
Annual 12/1/20 10.96 11.40 10.50 11.00 5 -- -- -0.13
Annual 12/1/19 11.04 11.90 10.20 11.07 6 -- -- 0.02
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 11.05 11.25 -0.20
Annual 12/1/17 11.02 10.86 0.16
Annual 12/1/16 11.15 10.47 0.68

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,534.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3,836.49 3,962.00 3,711.21 3,836.26 3 -- 1 -1.02
Annual 12/1/20 3,807.14 3,990.56 3,621.93 3,812.50 6 -- 1 -0.42
Annual 12/1/19 3,629.68 3,700.00 3,512.15 3,656.66 6 -- 1 -0.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 873.58 873.58 873.58 873.58 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 814.04 814.04 814.04 814.04 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 965.97 967.93 964.00 965.97 2 -- 1 -17.56
Quarterly 12/1/19 882.10 942.99 821.22 882.10 2 1 -- 30.42

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,534.50 3,502.93 0.90
Annual 12/1/17 3,382.20 3,437.45 -1.61
Annual 12/1/16 3,320.00 3,351.67 -0.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 790.20 843.18 -6.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 987.20 915.57 7.82
Quarterly 12/1/18 873.50 853.56 2.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 928.60 1,075.99 -13.70

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 24.30 23.34 21.79

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 4.48 7.11 4.87